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Saturday, 1 December 2012

Match Preview: Reading v Manchester United

Wednesday night’s narrow, nervy 1-0 defeat of West Ham saw United remain a point clear of neighbour’s City at the top. Chelsea’s second consecutive 0-0 draw means the Manchester sides have a 6 and 7 point cushion to the chasing pack. Two horse race? Reading played out a narrow 1-0 of their own, ultimately losing out at Aston Villa (another late goal conceded). The results leaves them on 9 points from 13 games, firmly routed in the bottom three.

With second-placed City playing at 3pm, United could enter the 5.30pm kick-off in second place. With the derby looming, a win – and thus entering next weekend’s clash a point clear – would be most favourable. A home win would still leave Reading in the relegation zone, but they are in danger of being cast adrift if results (only 1 win so far this season) do not improve.

MANCHESTER UNITED TEAM NEWS
 Fergie on Reading: “They’re definitely a club that are improving and although they’ve not had a lot of wins, they’re always hard games against them. I expect what we got at Norwich – a really difficult game.

The victory over West Ham – while not the blistering display many were hoping for after taking such an early lead – ensured we remained a point clear at the top. Most of the outstanding players on the night were in defence – perhaps likely as an all-too-rare-this-season clean sheet was achieved. Jonny Evans was exceptional at the heart of the defence, with Smalling not too far behind. The two stood up to the physical battle with Andy Carroll, winning their fair share of aerial duels as well as blocking and clearing well when they didn’t. Evans, in particular, brought back memories of a younger Rio Ferdinand in the way he glided out with the ball from the back. Graceful, calm, full of purpose. It was a delight to see.

 Rafael continued his run of brilliant form with another composed, solid display. He’s become so reliable it’s easy to see why many now see him as the league’s best right-back. With the midfield playing a narrow diamond, it was up to him and Patrice Evra to provide the width. In the main, they did this well. Neither player possesses a truly consistent killer final pass/cross – Evra never will – but I hope, for Rafael, it will come.

All that being said, I see the only change to the back four being Ferdinand – rested midweek – to come back into the side in place of Chris Smalling, still working back from injury. Rio and Evans should have their hands full dealing with the power of Roberts and the movement of Le Fondre, their top scorer. Concentration could be key.

In goal, it is likely that Anders Lindegaard – on the back of another decent display including one brilliant save from Carlton Cole – will continue in goal, with David de Gea coming in for the clash against Cluj next week.
With continued injury and loss of form in the wide areas, another outing for the midfield diamond seems likely. Nani is over a month away from fitness, while Valencia could be back for the trip to City. Ashley Young’s downward spiral continued against West Ham (albeit as a sub) while, as I mentioned last time, Danny Welbeck IS NOT a winger. Therefore, I fully expect to see the same front 6 start again this weekend. 

While Paul Scholes is back from suspension, there was enough on show on Wednesday night to suggest, should the same players be given a little more time together, something nice could be brewing. Some of the passing, especially in the early part of the game, was crisp, purposeful and almost inventive. I, for one, would like to see more of the same. I just hope Fergie does too! Should he, expect to see Carrick, Anderson (who was very good again on Wednesday), Cleverley and Rooney in the midfield area, with Robin van Persie and Javier Hernandez up top.

While a tight diamond should see us control the centre of the park, we will have to be wary of the trickery of McAnuff on the wing. Leaving him one-on-one v Evra could pose us problems, with the Reading captain by far and away their most productive player. Evra will have a job on his hands to keep the Reading captain quiet. The central United players will have to work hard to shift across and double-up as and when it is necessary.

With the Cluj game in midweek a non-event, it will be a chance to give the likes of Rafael, Evans and Evra a rest, as well as wrapping up Rooney, Carrick and RvP for the City game. Smalling, Jones, Welbeck, Buttner and de Gea will surely come in. I doubt Fergie will make too drastic a change to the side for the Reading trip with the City game on the horizon. Going there ahead in the table could be important. The time for rest/game time will come in the week.

Reading will be roared on by a sell-out home crowd; a fast, frenetic start should be expected. Their home record this season suggests it will be a tight game. While United should enjoy the majority of possession (as they usually do, of course), Reading will be dangerous on the counter; concentration at the back, especially with Adam Le Fondre sniffing around, could prove vital. While going a goal or two ahead would be nice for a change, Reading’s record when leading (14 points dropped) tells us that they are equally as vulnerable when 1-0 up as 1-0 down. Our own record of points gained from losing positions this season (18 gained) will be well-known to the Reading players, too. Expect another stirring fight-back should Reading take an early lead.

Predicted United line-up: Lindegaard, Rafael, Ferdinand, Evans, Evra, Carrick, Cleverley, Anderson, Rooney, Hernandez, Van Persie

Score prediction: Reading 1-2 United

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